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Market Volatility and the Probability of a Recession

Picture of Scott Colbert Scott Colbert : May 9, 2025

Economy Economic Insights
Market Volatility and the Probability of a Recession

In the latest Commerce Trust Market Brief video, Scott Colbert, Chief Economist and Director of Fixed Income Management, discusses market volatility and the current sentiment around a recession.  

Scott’s comments address developments such as:  

  • Ongoing stock and bond market volatility following recent tariff announcements  

  • How the probability of a U.S. recession has changed since the start of the year 

  • The recent decline in the value of the U.S. dollar  

  • Year-to-date changes in corporate credit spreads 

     


 

Read the transcript

 

 

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