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Economic Momentum Tempers Recession Concerns

Picture of Scott Colbert Scott Colbert : June 23, 2025

Economy Economic Insights
Economic Momentum Tempers Recession Concerns

Concerns about a recession are easing as the U.S. economy proves resilient. In the latest Commerce Trust Market Brief video, Scott Colbert, Chief Economist and Director of Fixed Income Management, provides his latest perspective on the positive economic momentum in the U.S. despite continued geopolitical uncertainty.  

  • Markets remain stable in the face of global geopolitical tensions and military activity  

  • The importance of the Strait of Hormuz, and how excess OPEC oil production capacity and domestic energy independence offset potential supply disruptions 

  • The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as the focus on tariffs settles with less impact on short-term inflation  

  • Evidence of economic growth changes the sentiment around a U.S. recession 


 

Read the transcript

 

 

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